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Crude Oil Hits 3-Year High Breakout Will Have Traders Acting Soon!
Crude Oil prices surged to a high of $67.60 per barrel last week amid rising geopolitical risk, the highest level since 2014. Oil’s breakout for a third consecutive day could either take price to a new ranging territory, making the breakout quite significant or retreat back below within the former trading range.
Read MoreMarket Alert: Is the Hong Kong's dollar peg against the US dollar at risk?
Over the past few days we have noticed that the Hong Kong Dollar has fallen to the weaker end of its permitted band, trading at 7.85 on three separate occasions!
Read MoreMarch NFP – Can the NFP “Frenzy” Last Any Longer?
Total Employment increased by 313K in February while Unemployment held firm at 4.1% for the fifth running month. Economists had expected a pick to 205K, a tad higher than January’s 200K, but to everyone’s surprise the NFP reinforced a positive momentum for the US economy, yet, action in the currency markets was not impressive as wage growth grew with a slower pace.
Read MoreFEBRUARY NFP – Trade Wars Ahead Add Pressure to DOLLAR, Employment Report Weighty
Last month BLS reported a 200K change in the number of employed people, picking up from December’s 160K (revised from 148K) and printing a higher figure than economists’ expectations as the US economy accelerates.
Read MoreJanuary NFP – Fresh start to 2018 needed
The gains for December’s payrolls came out less than the median anticipated projection of 190K and also below the 2016 total payrolls yet above 2 million and the yearly expectations.
Read MoreCurrency Outlook 2018 (YTD)
The US DOLLAR struggled to perform on the offensive for most of 2017 amid growing political, geo-political and environmental related risks, moving nearly 6.20% lower year-to-date (YTD).
Read MoreCentral Banks to Set the Tone for 2018
With little to support the economic calendar, today markets are concentrated on a number of Central Bank meetings following this week, meetings likely to set the stage for 2018.
Read MoreRBA & RBNZ Rate Hike Likely To Impact The Housing Market
Based on economic and monetary analyses RBNZ decided to leave rates unchanged at 1.75% in line with the Policy Targets Agreement.
Read MoreA view on NFP report
Based on the the payroll headline figures for the month of September a somewhat different reaction was seen in the markets instead of a broadly weaker US Dollar.
Read MoreA view on October's interest rates
The Bank of Canada raised its interest rates by 25bp back in September 6th following a 25bp rate hike in July 12. The rate hike took Loonie 82 cents higher versus the Dollar while economists were expecting another raise in the upcoming October 25th economic event, rather than as early as July.
Read MoreJapan’s Abe Poised for a Big Victory According to Forecast
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced a snap election back in September 25th, taking full advantage of a weak and disorganised opposition, while his approval ratings climbed higher, near 44%, on his hard stance against North Korea.
Read MoreGerman Elections
While polls show Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party heading the German Election with a 16% lead over follower Martin Schulz’s Social Democrat (SPD) party amid a televised debate the latter “failed” ...
Read MoreAugust NFP Special Report
A more important than usual report came out on the 4th of August as doubts over a rate hike increased following a slowdown in inflation. Along with the Fed’s approach to reducing the $4.5 trillion balance sheet, July’s job figures did matter the most to the central bank and investors.
Read MoreLondon's War On Terror Sends Markets Plummeting
Police in London have reinforced security across the River Thames following the 3rd ISIS attack in just 3 months. 7 have been pronounced dead and 21 critically injured...
Read MoreWHAT ‘S SPECIAL ABOUT THIS MONTH’S NFP ?
April’s NFP consensus expectation was for a 194.000 increase in employment change. EUSUSD reacted in a positive manner, giving the opportunity...
Read MoreTIMES OF …TRUMPLE
F.B.I Director James Comey firing last week will stay in history. President Donald Trump described the sacking took place over Comey’s handling of the investigation of the “Hillary Clinton Email Scandal”.
Read MoreMacron wins French Presidential Elections
Emmanuel Macron has won the 2017 Elections and will be inaugurated as the youngest ever President of France, beating right-wing and anti-EU Marine Le Pen by a large margin.
Read MoreFrench Elections: The Vote That Could Devastate The EURO
On 23 April 2017, the French electorate will vote for a new President. Whilst market pundits are split on who is likely to take the Presidential title, all agree that the vote outcome may mean bad news for the European Union and for the Euro.
Read MorePolitics, not economics, weighing on EUR
The Eurozone’s economics would seem to suggest a stronger currency, but instead the continent’s political problems are weighing the single currency down.
Read MoreWhat do the market experts predict for 2017?
What’s likely to happen in the FX markets this year. Much depends on how the Trump presidency and the Chinese economy work out.
Read MoreHow did the currency pundits do in 2016?
It’s that time of year again when I do my favorite column, in which I ask: how did the FX experts perform last year? I’m going to look at the “market consensus” forecast for currencies at the beginning of 2016 to see what value
Read MoreTrump wins stunning upset victory; US policy uncertainty increases
Donald Trump won a stunning upset victory in the US Presidential election. The Republican Party also retained control of the Senate and the House of Representatives, so that gives them a clean sweep of the US government.
Read MoreWhat will happen in the markets after the election?
Investors may be wondering what is likely to happen in the financial markets after the US Presidential election. We know roughly what’s likely to happen, because we saw some natural experiments recently.
Read MoreOutlook for pound reverses; watch for short-covering rally
There were two major changes in the outlook for the pound Thursday. First, the UK High Court ruled against the government on Brexit.
Read MoreUS Elections
The upcoming US elections are proving to be the most controversial elections to-date. With both Trump and Clinton identified as the presidential nominees for their respective parties, the result will indeed be an interesting one.
Read MoreGBP flash crash
Incredible volatility overnight! For no apparent reason, GBP just suddenly collapsed as computer-generated sell orders flooded the market. But just as the currency collapsed for no perceptible reason, it quickly rebounded for no reason either.
Read MoreOPEC agrees to cut output; news isn’t all it seems
There was some big news out overnight: OPEC agreed on a production cut! This is the first time in eight years they’ve agreed to something like that. Expectations for the informal meeting that took place yesterday were quite low, so oil prices shot up over 5% on the news.
Read MoreClinton win is good for stocks, MXN, risk-sensitive currencies
Last night was the first of three US presidential debates. With the polls so close – Clinton leads by less than 2 percentage points -- the debates have the potential to sway the undecided voters and tip the election either way.
Read MoreBank of Japan introduces “QQE with Yield Curve Control”
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) today surprised the markets with yet another tweak of their monetary policy. As expected, it focused on the shape of the Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield curve, but it contained enough new and unexpected aspects to provide several surprises.
Read MoreBREXIT
Its been nearly 2 months since the historic Brexit vote and 6 weeks since the Bank of England issued a stronger response to the Brexit than many economists forecasted. The same policy makers are now having to assess whether their outlook requires a change in strategy.
Read MoreWHY TRADE ON OIL
If you are interested in buying or selling "oil," what should you do? You can't just buy "oil," like you can buy "gold," because there are so many different kinds of oil from different places.
Read MoreGO FOR GOLD
Gold - the investment of the Pharaohs. The precious metal has been highly valued since antiquity for its rarity and lustre.
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